Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.156079 0.186298 0.220297 0.261307 0.309358 0.363795 0.430064
2025-04-13 0.109024 0.146732 0.193986 0.257240 0.339349 0.441943 0.579421
2025-04-20 0.087389 0.128649 0.184652 0.265554 0.378639 0.530164 0.747442
2025-04-27 0.077331 0.122466 0.187817 0.288171 0.436932 0.647514 0.965863
2025-05-04 0.067088 0.113391 0.184385 0.299424 0.478919 0.745379 1.166930
2025-05-11 0.056069 0.100725 0.172946 0.295940 0.497096 0.808949 1.323069
2025-05-18 0.045998 0.087574 0.158304 0.284531 0.500264 0.848471 1.444810
2025-05-25 0.037583 0.075652 0.143618 0.270420 0.496312 0.874946 1.546829
2025-06-01 0.033501 0.070862 0.140476 0.275534 0.525031 0.957207 1.748073
2025-06-08 0.028252 0.062852 0.130174 0.266036 0.526322 0.992213 1.871239
2025-06-15 0.025637 0.059663 0.128471 0.272262 0.556714 1.080707 2.096103
2025-06-22 0.023023 0.056003 0.125255 0.274969 0.580473 1.159054 2.309344
2025-06-29 0.019947 0.050943 0.118773 0.270949 0.592119 1.218866 2.499814
2025-07-06 0.017318 0.046431 0.112809 0.267283 0.604289 1.281511 2.703416
2025-07-13 0.015942 0.044658 0.112591 0.275946 0.642998 1.400020 3.027756
2025-07-20 0.015654 0.045565 0.118632 0.299390 0.716016 1.594696 3.522947
2025-07-27 0.014644 0.044386 0.119533 0.311051 0.764367 1.742911 3.936235
2025-08-03 0.012927 0.040935 0.114327 0.307441 0.777711 1.818310 4.203738
2025-08-10 0.011052 0.036636 0.106262 0.295618 0.770432 1.848117 4.376003
2025-08-17 0.009329 0.032395 0.097616 0.280993 0.754501 1.856834 4.502372
2025-08-24 0.008608 0.031077 0.096676 0.286293 0.787968 1.980601 4.897302
2025-08-31 0.007435 0.028051 0.090439 0.276449 0.782097 2.012476 5.084946
2025-09-07 0.006929 0.027129 0.090130 0.282903 0.818903 2.148594 5.526991